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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

$365.3万 交易量 · 2028年1月1日 截止

价格走势

Yes
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价格会随大家的买卖实时变化。

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

以 Polymarket 原文规则为准。