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Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?

27%是 · 概率

是 27¢否 73¢

2027年7月1日 截止

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• Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?15%

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?

74.5%是 · 概率

是 74.5¢否 25.5¢

24小时 +1.5 个百分点

24小时交易量 $384.3 · 2026年11月29日 截止

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• Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?34%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?

62.5%是 · 概率

是 62.5¢否 37.5¢

24小时 -2 个百分点

24小时交易量 $10.5万 · 2027年4月1日 截止

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• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?33.3%
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?10.5%

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?

2.4%是 · 概率

是 2.4¢否 97.7¢

2027年1月1日 截止

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US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?

23%是 · 概率

是 23¢否 77¢

24小时 -4 个百分点

24小时交易量 $1303.4 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?

7%是 · 概率

是 7¢否 93¢

24小时 -4.5 个百分点

24小时交易量 $16.2 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

24%是 · 概率

是 24¢否 76¢

24小时 -5.5 个百分点

2029年1月1日 截止

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• Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?21.5%
• Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?13.1%

Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?

4.3%是 · 概率

是 4.3¢否 95.8¢

2027年4月1日 截止

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• Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?1.8%

Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?

Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?

23.4%是 · 概率

是 23.4¢否 76.6¢

24小时 -1.2 个百分点

2027年4月17日 截止

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• Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?1.1%

How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

87.5%是 · 概率

是 87.5¢否 12.5¢

24小时 +2.5 个百分点

24小时交易量 $699.9 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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• Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?8.5%
• Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?1.8%