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Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Will Mauro Vieira be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?

44%是 · 概率

是 44¢否 56¢

24小时 -15 个百分点

24小时交易量 $85 · 2027年3月1日 截止

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• Will Aloizio Mercadante be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?6%
• Will Fernando Haddad be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?4.9%

Next Brazilian Minister of Finance?

Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?

37%是 · 概率

是 37¢否 63¢

24小时 +9 个百分点

24小时交易量 $145.1 · 2027年3月1日 截止

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• Will Dario Durigan be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?30%
• Will Rafael Fonteles be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?12%

Punjab Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?

48%是 · 概率

是 48¢否 52¢

24小时 -1.5 个百分点

2027年4月1日 截止

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• Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?34%
• Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?12%

Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?

82%是 · 概率

是 82¢否 18¢

24小时交易量 $6 · 2027年4月1日 截止

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• Will the Samajwadi Party (SP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?18.5%
• Will the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?0.3%

Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?

Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?

47.5%是 · 概率

是 47.5¢否 52.5¢

24小时交易量 $41.7 · 2028年1月1日 截止

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• Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election?31%
• Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + Democrats + Shas + UTJ?5.1%

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March?

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

64.5%是 · 概率

是 64.5¢否 35.5¢

2027年3月17日 截止

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• Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate at the March meeting?31%
• Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?5.4%

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in February?

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?

60%是 · 概率

是 60¢否 40¢

24小时 -0.5 个百分点

2027年2月10日 截止

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• Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate at the February meeting?34.5%
• Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?2.5%

Next Israeli government # of seats?

Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?

63.5%是 · 概率

是 63.5¢否 36.5¢

24小时 -2 个百分点

24小时交易量 $641.9 · 2028年1月1日 截止

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• Will the next Israeli government hold between 61 and 63 seats?12.9%
• Will the next Israeli government hold between 58 and 60 seats?3.5%

Elon Musk meets with Putin by...?

Elon Musk meets with Putin by March 31, 2027?

16%是 · 概率

是 16¢否 84¢

24小时 -0.5 个百分点

24小时交易量 $1.1 · 2027年4月1日 截止

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• Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026?4.7%

Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by...?

Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by January 31, 2027?

35.5%是 · 概率

是 35.5¢否 64.5¢

24小时 -0.5 个百分点

24小时交易量 $10.2 · 2027年2月1日 截止

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• Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026?22%
• Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?16.5%

Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by...?

Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028?

28.5%是 · 概率

是 28.5¢否 71.5¢

2028年7月1日 截止

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• Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027?17.5%
• Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2027?11.5%