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Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Will Another Candidate win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round?

59%是 · 概率

是 59¢否 41¢

24小时 +3.5 个百分点

已过计划结束时间 · 结果公布前仍可交易

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• Will Eduardo Paes win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round?34.3%
• Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?1.8%

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?

32.5%是 · 概率

是 32.5¢否 67.5¢

24小时交易量 $42.7 · 2029年1月1日 截止

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• Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?19.5%
• Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?2.2%

Spain General Election Winner

Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

83.5%是 · 概率

是 83.5¢否 16.5¢

24小时 -1 个百分点

24小时交易量 $9892.6 · 2026年11月30日 截止

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• Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?16.5%
• Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?0.4%

Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

61.7%是 · 概率

是 61.7¢否 38.4¢

24小时 -7.8 个百分点

24小时交易量 $0.4 · 已过计划结束时间 · 结果公布前仍可交易

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• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?20.7%
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?1.1%

Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?

Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?

7.5%是 · 概率

是 7.5¢否 92.5¢

2027年1月1日 截止

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Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by...?

Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?

9%是 · 概率

是 9¢否 91¢

24小时 -0.5 个百分点

2027年1月1日 截止

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Saudi troops enter Sanaa by...?

Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?

8%是 · 概率

是 8¢否 92¢

2027年1月1日 截止

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IEA asks Germany to release oil stocks by...?

Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?

13.5%是 · 概率

是 13.5¢否 86.5¢

24小时 +0.5 个百分点

2027年1月1日 截止

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IEA asks France to release oil stocks by...?

Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31?

22%是 · 概率

是 22¢否 78¢

2027年1月1日 截止

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