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What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?

38%是 · 概率

是 38¢否 62¢

24小时 -2 个百分点

2028年1月1日 截止

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• Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?28%
• Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027?9.5%

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?

99.4%是 · 概率

是 99.4¢否 0.6¢

24小时 +12.9 个百分点

24小时交易量 $1.1万 · 2027年1月3日 截止

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• Will Rick Scott be the next US Senate Minority Leader?0.7%
• Will Tom Cotton be the next US Senate Minority Leader?<0.1%

How many Independents will be elected to Congress?

Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?

92.5%是 · 概率

是 92.5¢否 7.5¢

已过计划结束时间 · 结果公布前仍可交易

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• Will 1 Independent be elected to Congress in 2026?38%
• Will 2 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?1.5%

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

Will Mėta Palauskaitė win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?

69.1%是 · 概率

是 69.1¢否 30.9¢

24小时 -13.3 个百分点

已过计划结束时间 · 结果公布前仍可交易

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• Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?49%
• Will Ignotas Adomavičius win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?1.6%

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?

62%是 · 概率

是 62¢否 38¢

24小时 +4 个百分点

24小时交易量 $3.4万 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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• Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?21.9%
• Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?0.5%

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

37.5%是 · 概率

是 37.5¢否 62.5¢

24小时 -3 个百分点

24小时交易量 $3.2万 · 2026年12月31日 截止

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• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?13.5%

Mamdani visits the White House by...?

Mamdani visits the White House by December 31?

28%是 · 概率

是 28¢否 72¢

24小时 -9.5 个百分点

2027年1月1日 截止

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U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?

91%是 · 概率

是 91¢否 9¢

24小时 +0.5 个百分点

2026年12月31日 截止

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• Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?7.5%
• Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?1.4%

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

12%是 · 概率

是 12¢否 88¢

2027年12月31日 截止

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• Will Iain Black win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?12%
• Will Caroline Elliott win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?11.5%

Clavicular in jail by...?

Clavicular in jail by December 31?

12%是 · 概率

是 12¢否 88¢

24小时 +7.5 个百分点

2027年1月1日 截止

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Next Premier of British Columbia

Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?

99.6%是 · 概率

是 99.6¢否 0.4¢

24小时交易量 $20 · 已过计划结束时间 · 结果公布前仍可交易

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• Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?<0.1%
• Will Dallas Brodie be the next Premier of British Columbia?<0.1%