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Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?

92%是 · 概率

是 92¢否 8¢

24小时 +7.5 个百分点

24小时交易量 $561 · 已过计划结束时间 · 结果公布前仍可交易

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• Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%?4.4%
• Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?1.8%

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?

7.5%是 · 概率

是 7.5¢否 92.5¢

24小时 -1.5 个百分点

24小时交易量 $35 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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• Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by November 30?3.9%

Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?

Will Kennedy Center demolition be announced by December 31?

14%是 · 概率

是 14¢否 86¢

2027年1月1日 截止

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GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

Will the Kansas Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?

93.1%是 · 概率

是 93.1¢否 6.9¢

24小时 -0.5 个百分点

已过计划结束时间 · 结果公布前仍可交易

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• Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?5.1%
• Will the Nebraska Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?2.3%

Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

Canada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2027?

8.5%是 · 概率

是 8.5¢否 91.5¢

2028年1月1日 截止

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• Canada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2026?2.5%

Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?

Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)

16%是 · 概率

是 16¢否 84¢

24小时 -3.5 个百分点

2028年1月1日 截止

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• Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?12.5%
• Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?4.3%

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?

9.5%是 · 概率

是 9.5¢否 90.5¢

24小时交易量 $200 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?2.1%

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?

12.5%是 · 概率

是 12.5¢否 87.5¢

24小时 -0.5 个百分点

24小时交易量 $1120.2 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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• Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?4.4%