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Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?

1.2%是 · 概率

是 1.2¢否 98.9¢

2027年1月1日 截止

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Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

23.5%是 · 概率

是 23.5¢否 76.5¢

24小时 +1 个百分点

24小时交易量 $6887 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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• Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?8.5%

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?

66.5%是 · 概率

是 66.5¢否 33.5¢

2030年1月1日 截止

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• Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?13.5%
• Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany?10.5%

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Will Adam Telle be the next confirmed Army Secretary?

30%是 · 概率

是 30¢否 70¢

24小时 +4.5 个百分点

2029年1月19日 截止

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• Will Marc Andersen be the next confirmed Army Secretary?15%
• Will Sean Parnell be the next confirmed Army Secretary?14%

2027 Chicago Mayoral Election

Will Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?

74%是 · 概率

是 74¢否 26¢

2027年4月6日 截止

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• Will Danielle Carter-Walters win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?16.5%
• Will Brandon Johnson win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?8.5%

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be 45-54 years old?

51%是 · 概率

是 51¢否 49¢

24小时 +5.5 个百分点

2028年8月31日 截止

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• Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be under 45 years old?46%
• Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be 55-64 years old?31%

Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by...?

Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by March 31, 2027?

30%是 · 概率

是 30¢否 70¢

24小时 +0.5 个百分点

2027年4月1日 截止

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• Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by December 31, 2026?10%

Next UK by-election called by…?

Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?

14%是 · 概率

是 14¢否 86¢

24小时 +5.5 个百分点

24小时交易量 $32.7 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?

48%是 · 概率

是 48¢否 52¢

24小时 -9.5 个百分点

24小时交易量 $4713.4 · 2027年8月1日 截止

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• Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?21.6%
• Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + L?0.5%

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?

9%是 · 概率

是 9¢否 91¢

24小时 +2.5 个百分点

24小时交易量 $404.2 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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