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Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?

77%是 · 概率

是 77¢否 23¢

24小时 +1.5 个百分点

24小时交易量 $366.1 · 2026年11月29日 截止

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• Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?37%
• Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?28.5%

Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

24%是 · 概率

是 24¢否 76¢

24小时 -5.5 个百分点

2029年1月1日 截止

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• Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?21.5%
• Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?13.1%

Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?

Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?

23.4%是 · 概率

是 23.4¢否 76.6¢

2027年4月17日 截止

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• Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?1.1%

How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

86.5%是 · 概率

是 86.5¢否 13.5¢

24小时 +1.5 个百分点

24小时交易量 $155 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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• Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?7.5%
• Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?2%

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?

98%是 · 概率

是 98¢否 2¢

24小时 +1.3 个百分点

已过计划结束时间 · 结果公布前仍可交易

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• Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?1.1%

Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?

Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?

68%是 · 概率

是 68¢否 32¢

24小时 +2 个百分点

24小时交易量 $78.6 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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• Will William Ruger be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?16.2%
• Will Antonio Zanardi Landi be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?6.2%

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Will Edin Forto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

16.2%是 · 概率

是 16.2¢否 83.8¢

2028年8月1日 截止

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• Will Denis Bećirović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?5.5%
• Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?3.1%

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

38.5%是 · 概率

是 38.5¢否 61.5¢

24小时交易量 $1.2万 · 已过计划结束时间 · 结果公布前仍可交易

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• Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?24.6%
• Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?0.2%

Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?

75.5%是 · 概率

是 75.5¢否 24.5¢

24小时 -1.5 个百分点

24小时交易量 $5109.8 · 2027年5月2日 截止

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• Will Aleksandar Čupić win the next Serbia presidential election?6.9%
• Will Savo Manojlović win the next Serbia presidential election?0.2%