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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$4593.5萬 交易量 · 2027年1月1日 截止

價格走勢

是
—

正在載入…

價格會隨大家的買賣實時變化。

規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

以 Polymarket 原文規則為準。

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