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Next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?

Will Wellington César Lima e Silva be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?

24.5%是 · 機率

是 24.5¢否 75.5¢

24 小時 -0.5 個百分點

2027年3月1日 截止

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• Will Camilo Santana be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?20%
• Will Jaques Wagner be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?2.7%

Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?

Will Camilo Santana be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?

47%是 · 機率

是 47¢否 53¢

24 小時 -0.5 個百分點

2027年3月1日 截止

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• Will Fernando Haddad be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?12.5%
• Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?7.5%

Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Will Mauro Vieira be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?

44%是 · 機率

是 44¢否 56¢

24 小時 -18.5 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $85 · 2027年3月1日 截止

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• Will Aloizio Mercadante be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?5.5%
• Will Fernando Haddad be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?4.9%

Next Brazilian Minister of Finance?

Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?

46%是 · 機率

是 46¢否 54¢

24 小時 +11.5 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $620.5 · 2027年3月1日 截止

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• Will Dario Durigan be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?30%
• Will Rafael Fonteles be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?14%

Punjab Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?

46%是 · 機率

是 46¢否 54¢

24 小時 -1 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $57.8 · 2027年4月1日 截止

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• Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?34%
• Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?12.5%

Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?

82%是 · 機率

是 82¢否 18¢

24 小時交易量 $6 · 2027年4月1日 截止

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• Will the Samajwadi Party (SP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?18.5%
• Will the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?0.4%

Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?

Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?

47.5%是 · 機率

是 47.5¢否 52.5¢

24 小時交易量 $20.8 · 2028年1月1日 截止

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• Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election?28.5%
• Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats + Shas + UTJ?7.8%

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March?

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

64.5%是 · 機率

是 64.5¢否 35.5¢

2027年3月17日 截止

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• Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate at the March meeting?31%
• Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?5.3%

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in February?

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?

60%是 · 機率

是 60¢否 40¢

2027年2月10日 截止

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• Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate at the February meeting?34%
• Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?3.3%

Next Israeli government # of seats?

Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?

63.5%是 · 機率

是 63.5¢否 36.5¢

24 小時 -2 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $331.9 · 2028年1月1日 截止

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• Will the next Israeli government hold between 61 and 63 seats?9%
• Will the next Israeli government hold between 64 and 66 seats?7.6%

Elon Musk meets with Putin by...?

Elon Musk meets with Putin by March 31, 2027?

22.5%是 · 機率

是 22.5¢否 77.5¢

24 小時 +6.5 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $12.8 · 2027年4月1日 截止

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• Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026?21%