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B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

Will Iain Black win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

12%是 · 機率

是 12¢否 87.9¢

2027年12月31日 截止

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• Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?12%
• Will Caroline Elliott win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?11.5%

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?

83%是 · 機率

是 83¢否 17¢

24 小時 +5.5 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $36.1 · 2027年6月30日 截止

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• Will Together be in the next Israeli government?81.5%
• Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?30%

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?

95%是 · 機率

是 95¢否 5¢

24 小時 +9.5 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $455.2 · 已過計畫結束時間 · 結果公布前仍可交易

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• Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?4.9%
• Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%?4.4%

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?

66.5%是 · 機率

是 66.5¢否 33.5¢

2030年1月1日 截止

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• Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?13.5%
• Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany?10.5%

2027 Chicago Mayoral Election

Will Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?

74%是 · 機率

是 74¢否 26¢

24 小時 -1 個百分點

2027年4月6日 截止

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• Will Danielle Carter-Walters win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?16.5%
• Will Brandon Johnson win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?8.5%

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be 45-54 years old?

51%是 · 機率

是 51¢否 49¢

24 小時 +2.5 個百分點

2028年8月31日 截止

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• Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be under 45 years old?46%
• Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be 55-64 years old?31%

Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by...?

Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by March 31, 2027?

30%是 · 機率

是 30¢否 70¢

24 小時 +1.5 個百分點

2027年4月1日 截止

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• Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by December 31, 2026?8%

Next UK by-election called by…?

Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?

25.5%是 · 機率

是 25.5¢否 74.5¢

24 小時 +4 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $45.3 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?

38%是 · 機率

是 38¢否 62.1¢

24 小時 -6.1 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $3349.3 · 2027年8月1日 截止

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• Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?24%
• Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + L?0.2%