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Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Will Another Candidate win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round?

59%是 · 機率

是 59¢否 41¢

24 小時 +3.5 個百分點

已過計畫結束時間 · 結果公布前仍可交易

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• Will Eduardo Paes win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round?34.3%
• Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?3%

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?

32.5%是 · 機率

是 32.5¢否 67.5¢

24 小時交易量 $42.7 · 2029年1月1日 截止

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• Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?19.5%
• Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?2.1%

Spain General Election Winner

Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

84%是 · 機率

是 84¢否 16¢

24 小時 +1.5 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $5992.4 · 2026年11月30日 截止

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• Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?15.5%
• Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?0.5%

Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

61.1%是 · 機率

是 61.1¢否 38.9¢

24 小時 -1.3 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $469.3 · 已過計畫結束時間 · 結果公布前仍可交易

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• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?23.2%
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?1.1%

Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?

Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?

7.5%是 · 機率

是 7.5¢否 92.5¢

24 小時 +0.5 個百分點

2027年1月1日 截止

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Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by...?

Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?

9%是 · 機率

是 9¢否 91¢

2027年1月1日 截止

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Saudi troops enter Sanaa by...?

Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?

8%是 · 機率

是 8¢否 92¢

2027年1月1日 截止

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IEA asks Germany to release oil stocks by...?

Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?

13.5%是 · 機率

是 13.5¢否 86.5¢

24 小時 +0.5 個百分點

2027年1月1日 截止

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IEA asks France to release oil stocks by...?

Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31?

22%是 · 機率

是 22¢否 78¢

2027年1月1日 截止

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

4.7%是 · 機率

是 4.7¢否 95.3¢

24 小時 -14.3 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $15萬 · 2026年12月1日 截止

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• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 21?2.1%
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?1%