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Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?

7.5%是 · 機率

是 7.5¢否 92.5¢

24 小時 -2 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $35 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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• Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by November 30?3.7%

Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?

Will Kennedy Center demolition be announced by December 31?

14.5%是 · 機率

是 14.5¢否 85.5¢

24 小時 +0.5 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $76.5 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

Will the Kansas Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?

93.1%是 · 機率

是 93.1¢否 6.9¢

已過計畫結束時間 · 結果公布前仍可交易

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• Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?5.1%
• Will the Nebraska Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?2.3%

Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

Canada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2027?

8.5%是 · 機率

是 8.5¢否 91.5¢

2028年1月1日 截止

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• Canada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2026?2.4%

Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?

Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)

16%是 · 機率

是 16¢否 84¢

24 小時 +12.5 個百分點

2028年1月1日 截止

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• Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?12.5%
• Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?4.1%

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?

9.5%是 · 機率

是 9.5¢否 90.5¢

24 小時交易量 $200 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?2.2%

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?

12%是 · 機率

是 12¢否 88¢

24 小時 -1 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $1249.3 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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• Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?4.2%

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?

1%是 · 機率

是 1¢否 99¢

2027年1月1日 截止

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Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

23.5%是 · 機率

是 23.5¢否 76.5¢

24 小時 +1 個百分點

24 小時交易量 $7431.5 · 2027年1月1日 截止

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• Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?8.5%