Iran Nuke before 2027?2.6%Yes · chanceYes 2.6¢No 97.5¢24h -1.3 pp24h $26K Vol. · $1.6M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?2.9%Yes · chanceYes 2.9¢No 97.1¢24h -3.1 pp24h $25.2K Vol. · $2.7M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?28%Yes · chanceYes 28¢No 72¢24h -12.5 pp24h $21.6K Vol. · $257.8K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?12.5%Yes · chanceYes 12.5¢No 87.5¢24h -6 pp24h $21.2K Vol. · $241.6K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?13%Yes · chanceYes 13¢No 87¢24h -8.5 pp24h $4.3K Vol. · $6.3K Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?12.5%Yes · chanceYes 12.5¢No 87.5¢24h -1 pp24h $3.6K Vol. · $211.9K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?7.5%Yes · chanceYes 7.5¢No 92.5¢24h $426.7 Vol. · $139.9K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027